Estimating Quantile Sensitivities
Company: Operations Research
Year Of Publication: 2009
Month Of Publication: January
Pages: 118-130
Download Count: 5
View Count: 62
Comment Num: 0
Language: English
Source: article
Who Can Read: Free
Date: 7-28-2010
Publisher: Administrator
Summary
Quantiles of a random performance serve as important alternatives to the usual expected value. They are used in the
financial industry as measures of risk and in the service industry as measures of service quality. To manage the quantile of
a performance, we need to know how changes in the input parameters affect the output quantiles, which are called quantile
sensitivities. In this paper, we show that the quantile sensitivities can be written in the form of conditional expectations.
Based on the conditional-expectation form, we first propose an infinitesimal-perturbation-analysis (IPA) estimator. The IPA
estimator is asymptotically unbiased, but it is not consistent. We then obtain a consistent estimator by dividing data into
batches and averaging the IPA estimates of all batches. The estimator satisfies a central limit theorem for the i.i.d. data,
and the rate of convergence is strictly slower than n-1/3. The numerical results show that the estimator works well for
practical
Author(s)
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marginal contributions incremental sensitivities quantile 
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VaR Methods——Marginal VaR
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